Political Polls
According to the ICQ poll 68% of the 2892 people polled voted for John Kerry, only 24% voted for George Bush.
The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows Senator John Kerry with 49% of the vote and President George W. Bush with 45%.
Almost half of likely voters according to CNN, 49 percent, favored Kerry and 47 percent supported Bush. The difference was well within the margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
CBSNews has Kerry holding 48% of the votes and George Bush with only 43%.
According to FoxNews Bush and Kerry are tied at 42% each. (Kind of interesting that everyone but fox says that Kerry is in the lead.)
While we are looking at all of this you may want to try to find the right President for you. Check out AOL's election 2004 president match.
Comments
Sadly, the electoral college makes these poll numbers irrelevant. We don't have one presidential race, we have fifty-one -- well, more, actually, counting each district individually in Maine and Nebraska.
However, even when considered statewise, Kerry is significantly ahead. Cue the October surprise.
Posted by: the kiosk | August 1, 2004 09:42 PM
First of all it's nice to see you stopped by this little blog of mine. Secondly, I know your right, I just wish that we went by the real numbers - the popular vote. I was mostly pointing out how Foxnews just refuses to admit that Bush might be behind, even a little. Hopefully, We will see the results in November.
Posted by: Caffeine | August 1, 2004 11:12 PM
What surprise?
curse you, fox news!
Posted by: Eclipse | August 1, 2004 11:56 PM
Take a look at this image:
http://www.pollkatz.homestead.com/files/pollkatzmainGRAPHICS_8911_image001.gif
It's a graph of approval ratings for President Bush from a variety of news agencies and polling centers.
I mean, right off the bat you can see the general downward trend and the spike around 9/11, the invasion of Iraq, and the capture of Saddam Hussein. But which numbers are the right ones?
With a tiny knowledge of statistics you would assume that the truth would lie somewhere in the middle of those clusters. If a poll is an average, comparing polls lets you average the average. So you could probably find the vertical middle point of the cluster, draw a line for each point in time, and be pretty accurate.
But look closer: some of those dots are always on the high end, and some are always on the low end! Figuring out where to get the most accurate news is left as an exercise to the reader.
Posted by: Jemal | August 2, 2004 08:01 AM
I'd say that ABC/Post is more right wing then I thought. It looks like Newsweek is the most accurate, to me anyway.
Posted by: Caffeine | August 2, 2004 08:58 AM